Iowa 2016 – The Results Are in!

Against many pre-caucus polls and predictions, the results of last night’s caucuses shocked both parties.

The Republicans

With record breaking turnout, Texas Senator Ted Cruz garnered the most Republican support last night, successfully winning Iowa by receiving 27.7% of the votes. Followed behind Cruz is businessman and entrepreneur, Donald Trump, who placed second at 24.3% of the votes, and Florida Senator Marco Rubio, who received 23.1% of the votes.  A record 185,000 people participated in the GOP caucus, including 43% who stated it was their first caucus.  This year’s large turnout is a 5.4% increase from 2012, where turnout was near 121,000.  The conventional wisdom prior to Monday night was that the expected high turnout would benefit Trump, however, that was not the case as only 30% of first-timers voted for Trump; Cruz and Rubio received 23% and 22% respectively.

27 delegates were awarded last night for the Republican National Convention. Based on the results, Cruz received 8 delegates, while Trump and Rubio received 7 respectively. Other Republican nominees who received delegate support last night included: neurosurgeon Ben Carson with 3 delegates (9% of the vote), Senator of Kentucky Rand Paul with 1 delegate (4.5% of the vote), and former governor of Florida Jeb Bush, who also received with 1 delegate (2.8% of the vote). 

You may find full results and specific vote counts for the Republicans here.

The Democrats

Despite leading in nearly every major national poll, the Democrats had a near “virtual tie.”  In a historically close caucus, Democratic Candidate Hillary Clinton received 49.9% of the votes, while Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders received 49.6% of the votes. Although the Democrats do not use a conventional private ballot in their caucus, the party also received record turnout where 59% of participants were polled as first-timers.  Clinton led easily receiving majority of the support in the 45-64 and 65+ age brackets, while Sanders received an impressive 84% of voters between ages 17-29.  Of the 44 delegates awarded for the Democratic National Convention, Clinton has been awarded 22 to Sanders’ 21, and has been made the “apparent winner.” 

 

You may find full results and specific vote counts for the Democrats here.

The Casualties

Martin O’Malley and Mike Huckabee have both ended their presidential campaigns after failing to register in both Iowa caucuses. Despite conceding, the former Maryland governor stated “this fight continues” and continued to push on issues he believes most important.  He has not made an endorsement for either of the remaining Democratic candidates. At Huckabee’s front, his campaign suspension was unplanned, and made his announcement via Twitter, thanking his supporters. The former Arkansas governor has also not endorsed a Republican candidate upon his exit.

Next Up, New Hampshire

The next primary will be in New Hampshire for both parties, which will take place on Tuesday, February 9. Stay tuned with NAfME for the latest developments as we continue into primary season!


Ronny Lau, Legislative Policy Advisor, Center for Advocacy, Policy, and Constituency Engagement, February 2, 2016. © National Association for Music Education (NAfME.org)